Tuesday: CPI, Q1 Household Debt and Credit

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Jump to 2 Week Highs After US/China Trade TalksTariffs and trade policy have been a new and important consideration for the bond market for just over a month now. That matters to mortgage rates because mortgage pricing is primarily determined by bond prices. ... Over the weekend, the US and China agreed on a 90 day pause on the more extreme tariff brinksmanship. While levels remain elevated enough to cause some inflation concern (remember: bad for rates), they've come down enough to alleviate some concern about the global economy (also bad for rates). [30 year fixed 6.92%] emphasis added Tuesday: • At 6:00 AM ET, NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for April. • At 8:30 AM, The Consumer Price Index for April from the BLS. The consensus is for 0.3% increase in CPI (up 2.4% YoY), and a 0.3% increase in core CPI (up 2.8% YoY). • At 11:00 AM, NY Fed: Q1 Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit

May 13, 2025 - 05:29
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Tuesday: CPI, Q1 Household Debt and Credit
Mortgage Rates From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Jump to 2 Week Highs After US/China Trade Talks
Tariffs and trade policy have been a new and important consideration for the bond market for just over a month now. That matters to mortgage rates because mortgage pricing is primarily determined by bond prices.
...
Over the weekend, the US and China agreed on a 90 day pause on the more extreme tariff brinksmanship. While levels remain elevated enough to cause some inflation concern (remember: bad for rates), they've come down enough to alleviate some concern about the global economy (also bad for rates). [30 year fixed 6.92%]
emphasis added
Tuesday:
• At 6:00 AM ET, NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for April.

• At 8:30 AM, The Consumer Price Index for April from the BLS. The consensus is for 0.3% increase in CPI (up 2.4% YoY), and a 0.3% increase in core CPI (up 2.8% YoY).

• At 11:00 AM, NY Fed: Q1 Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit