Germany vs Italy predictions, odds and betting tips

After coming from behind to win in Milan on Thursday, Germany will be confident of finishing the job when they host Italy in their Nations League quarter-final in Dortmund on Sunday. Germany vs Italy best bets Germany to win – 3/4 with Paddy Power Juventus to win (draw no bet) – 8/15 with Sky Bet Joshua Kimmich to score or assist – 3/1 with BetMGM Germany vs Italy odds Find the latest match odds for Germany vs Italy. All odds are provided by our best football betting sites. Odds are subject to change. Germany vs Italy predictions Germany’s 2-1 win in Milan on Thursday was their first away win in Italy for 39 years. The victory put Julian Nagelsmann’s team in complete control of the tie ahead of the second leg at Signal Iduna Park. The win was far from plain sailing for the Germans. Fresh from helping Newcastle United win the Carabao Cup on Sunday, Sandro Tonoli gave Italy the lead with a neat finish after just nine minutes. But rather than inspiring the hosts to go on and complete the victory, it only served as a wake up call for the visitors. Despite Leon Goretzka twice coming close to levelling the score in the first half, Germany manager Julian Nagelsmann rang the changes at half time. Off went David Raum and Jonathan Burkardt, to be replaced by Nico Schlotterbeck and Tim Kleindienst. The impact was instant with Kleindienst heading home Joshua Kimmich’s cross just four minutes into the second half. The Germans then assumed total control of the tie when Goretzka headed in another Kimmich cross after 76 minutes. Italy will be disappointed to have left with nothing. Luciano Spalletti’s team may have had less of the possession (41 percent), but they had the majority of the chances, with 13 attempts on goal to Germany’s ten. Italy also managed six shots on target, with Germany having just four. As often is the case with Germany, they always seem to find a way. And despite Italy matching the Germans in the first leg, you would have to imagine their best opportunity of progressing to the semifinals has already gone. Germany vs Italy betting tips. 18+ GambleAware.org – Please play responsibly. Germany vs Italy betting tips Germany’s win in the first leg in Italy has not only made them 1/12 to win the tie, but they are now also the favourites to win the Nations League outright at 9/4. Before Julian Nagelsmann’s team can worry about that, they first have to get past Italy in Sunday’s second leg. Our match betting tips are below: Germany to win The Germans don’t often not win at home. They did go through a poor spell ahead of Euro 2024, one that saw Hansi Flick become the first German national team boss to be fired, but such runs of results are very rare. Germany won their three home Nations League A group matches with an aggregate score of 13-0. And remember, this is the top tier of the competition. Free Bet Offers See all the best free bets and betting offers available over at our dedicated page See all free bets 18+ gambleaware.org. T&Cs apply Italy aren’t as strong as they used to be. They did finish level on points with France in Nations League A Group 2, but if both teams play to their true potential, this should be a comfortable home win. Back Germany to win at 3/4 with Paddy Power Germany to score 2+ goals We already know that Germany have won their last three home matches by an aggregate of 13-0. There is no elite striker in the Germany team, they rely on goals from across the squad, rather than a Jurgen Klinsmann or a Miroslav Klose. Tim Kleindienst is widely regarded as one of Germany’s best finishers, but the Monchengladbach striker started on the bench on Thursday. Kleindienst’s equaliser may earn him a place in Sunday’s starting eleven. But with uncertainty around who will start, and the goals usually shared throughout the team, we are backing Germany to score two or more, rather than one player to find the back of the net. Back Germany to score two or more goals at 4/5 with Sky Bet Joshua Kimmich to score or assist Germany’s two goals in their first leg win over Italy both came from Joshua Kimmich crosses. The Bayern Munich man is in fine form for his club with six assists in the Bundesliga and has also provided a goal and an assist in his five appearances for Germany in the Nations League this season. Kimmich’s two assists may have exposed a rare Italian defensive deficiency. The manner of the two goals won’t be lost on the Germans, and don’t be surprised to see them try and exploit it again in the second leg. Kimmich looks great value to add to his goal contributions at 3/1. Back Joshua Kimmich to score or assist at 3/1 with BetMGM How to watch Germany vs Italy Location: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany. Date and time: Sunday 23rd March, 7.45pm GMT. How to wa

Mar 23, 2025 - 09:25

Germany vs Italy predictions, odds and betting tips

After coming from behind to win in Milan on Thursday, Germany will be confident of finishing the job when they host Italy in their Nations League quarter-final in Dortmund on Sunday.

Germany vs Italy best bets

Germany to win – 3/4 with Paddy Power
Juventus to win (draw no bet) – 8/15 with Sky Bet
Joshua Kimmich to score or assist – 3/1 with BetMGM

Germany vs Italy odds

Find the latest match odds for Germany vs Italy. All odds are provided by our best football betting sites. Odds are subject to change.

Germany vs Italy predictions

Germany’s 2-1 win in Milan on Thursday was their first away win in Italy for 39 years. The victory put Julian Nagelsmann’s team in complete control of the tie ahead of the second leg at Signal Iduna Park.

The win was far from plain sailing for the Germans. Fresh from helping Newcastle United win the Carabao Cup on Sunday, Sandro Tonoli gave Italy the lead with a neat finish after just nine minutes.

But rather than inspiring the hosts to go on and complete the victory, it only served as a wake up call for the visitors.

Despite Leon Goretzka twice coming close to levelling the score in the first half, Germany manager Julian Nagelsmann rang the changes at half time.

Off went David Raum and Jonathan Burkardt, to be replaced by Nico Schlotterbeck and Tim Kleindienst. The impact was instant with Kleindienst heading home Joshua Kimmich’s cross just four minutes into the second half.

The Germans then assumed total control of the tie when Goretzka headed in another Kimmich cross after 76 minutes.

Italy will be disappointed to have left with nothing.

Luciano Spalletti’s team may have had less of the possession (41 percent), but they had the majority of the chances, with 13 attempts on goal to Germany’s ten. Italy also managed six shots on target, with Germany having just four.

As often is the case with Germany, they always seem to find a way. And despite Italy matching the Germans in the first leg, you would have to imagine their best opportunity of progressing to the semifinals has already gone.

Germany vs Italy betting tips

Germany’s win in the first leg in Italy has not only made them 1/12 to win the tie, but they are now also the favourites to win the Nations League outright at 9/4. Before Julian Nagelsmann’s team can worry about that, they first have to get past Italy in Sunday’s second leg. Our match betting tips are below:

Germany to win

The Germans don’t often not win at home. They did go through a poor spell ahead of Euro 2024, one that saw Hansi Flick become the first German national team boss to be fired, but such runs of results are very rare.

Germany won their three home Nations League A group matches with an aggregate score of 13-0. And remember, this is the top tier of the competition.

Free Bet Offers

See all the best free bets and betting offers available over at our dedicated page

See all free bets

18+ gambleaware.org. T&Cs apply

Italy aren’t as strong as they used to be. They did finish level on points with France in Nations League A Group 2, but if both teams play to their true potential, this should be a comfortable home win.

Back Germany to win at 3/4 with Paddy Power

Germany to score 2+ goals

We already know that Germany have won their last three home matches by an aggregate of 13-0.

There is no elite striker in the Germany team, they rely on goals from across the squad, rather than a Jurgen Klinsmann or a Miroslav Klose.

Tim Kleindienst is widely regarded as one of Germany’s best finishers, but the Monchengladbach striker started on the bench on Thursday.

Kleindienst’s equaliser may earn him a place in Sunday’s starting eleven.

But with uncertainty around who will start, and the goals usually shared throughout the team, we are backing Germany to score two or more, rather than one player to find the back of the net.

Back Germany to score two or more goals at 4/5 with Sky Bet

Joshua Kimmich to score or assist

Germany’s two goals in their first leg win over Italy both came from Joshua Kimmich crosses.

The Bayern Munich man is in fine form for his club with six assists in the Bundesliga and has also provided a goal and an assist in his five appearances for Germany in the Nations League this season.

Kimmich’s two assists may have exposed a rare Italian defensive deficiency. The manner of the two goals won’t be lost on the Germans, and don’t be surprised to see them try and exploit it again in the second leg.

Kimmich looks great value to add to his goal contributions at 3/1.

Back Joshua Kimmich to score or assist at 3/1 with BetMGM