YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
Here are a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned two years ago when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year. This declined and is now up 3.3% YoY. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through April 2025.Services were up 3.7% YoY as of April 2025, unchanged from 3.7% YoY in March. Services less rent of shelter was up 3.3% YoY in April, unchanged from 3.3% YoY in March.The second graph shows that goods prices started to increase year-over-year (YoY) in 2020 and accelerated in 2021 due to both strong demand and supply chain disruptions. Durables were at -1.4% YoY as of April 2025, down from -1.0% YoY in March. Commodities less food and energy commodities were at 0.2% YoY in April, up from 0.0% YoY in March.Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report (through April) and housing from the PCE report (through March) Shelter was up 4.0% year-over-year in April, unchanged from 4.0% in March. Housing (PCE) was up 4.3% YoY in March, unchanged from 4.3% in February.This is still catching up with private new lease data.Core CPI ex-shelter was up 1.8% YoY in April. This key measure has been at or below the Fed's target for 8 of the last 12 months.
The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned two years ago when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year. This declined and is now up 3.3% YoY.
This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through April 2025.
Services less rent of shelter was up 3.3% YoY in April, unchanged from 3.3% YoY in March.
Commodities less food and energy commodities were at 0.2% YoY in April, up from 0.0% YoY in March.
Shelter was up 4.0% year-over-year in April, unchanged from 4.0% in March. Housing (PCE) was up 4.3% YoY in March, unchanged from 4.3% in February.
Core CPI ex-shelter was up 1.8% YoY in April. This key measure has been at or below the Fed's target for 8 of the last 12 months.