YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
Here are a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year. This declined, but is still elevated, and is now up 3.9% YoY. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through December 2024.Services were up 4.2% YoY as of January 2025, down from 4.4% YoY in December. Services less rent of shelter was up 3.9% YoY in January, down from 4.0% YoY in DecemberThe second graph shows that goods prices started to increase year-over-year (YoY) in 2020 and accelerated in 2021 due to both strong demand and supply chain disruptions. Durables were at -1.2% YoY as of January 2025, up from -1.9% YoY in December. Commodities less food and energy commodities were at -0.1% YoY in January, up from -0.7% YoY in December.Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report (through January) and housing from the PCE report (through December) Shelter was up 4.4% year-over-year in January, down from 4.6% in December. Housing (PCE) was up 4.7% YoY in December, down from 4.8% in November.This is still catching up with private new lease data.Core CPI ex-shelter was up 2.4% YoY in January.
The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year. This declined, but is still elevated, and is now up 3.9% YoY.
This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through December 2024.
Services less rent of shelter was up 3.9% YoY in January, down from 4.0% YoY in December
Commodities less food and energy commodities were at -0.1% YoY in January, up from -0.7% YoY in December.
Shelter was up 4.4% year-over-year in January, down from 4.6% in December. Housing (PCE) was up 4.7% YoY in December, down from 4.8% in November.
Core CPI ex-shelter was up 2.4% YoY in January.